
Carbon Capture Direct Air
Evidence-based science journalism. Every claim verified against peer-reviewed research.
Peer-Reviewed Science
19 published papers · click to read
14,882
combined citations
Radu Custelcean, PhD
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Oak Ridge, TN (United States)Reducing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Through Direct Air Capture — Scientia
2 citations
Kevin OBrien, PhD
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Net-Zero Center of Excellence, Prairie Research InstituteDirect Air Capture-Based Carbon Dioxide Removal with United States Low-Carbon Energy and Sinks AOI 2: Initial Engineering Design of Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage Systems (TRL 6) for Direct Air Capture — SSRN Electronic Journal
Agnese Zaghini
Aarhus University
2800 Kgs Lyngby, DenmarkEnzyme assisted direct air capture of carbon dioxide — Carbon Capture Science & Technology
2 citations
Milad Shakouri Kalfati
An open-source dynamic model for direct air capture of carbon dioxide using solid sorbents — Carbon Capture Science & Technology
Cameron Hepburn
University of Oxford
Oxford, UK“e/articles/biology-of-belonging-telomeres) that resist microbial degradation, involving the suppression of key enzymes such as laccases and peroxidases through biochar's adsorption sites, which block substrate access and reduce oxidation rates by 25%”
The technological and economic prospects for CO2 utilization and removal — Nature
2,237 citations
Samer Fawzy
Strategies for mitigation of climate change: a review
1,422 citations
Lin Chen
Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University
Department of Civil Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool UniversityStrategies to achieve a carbon neutral society: a review — Environmental Chemistry Letters
1,191 citations
Mihrimah Ozkan
Current status and pillars of direct air capture technologies
324 citations
Claudia Kammann
Plant growth improvement mediated by nitrate capture in co-composted biochar
522 citations
Rezvan Sharifian
Electrochemical carbon dioxide capture to close the carbon cycle
504 citations
Researchers identified from peer-reviewed literature indexed in Semantic Scholar · OpenAlex · PubMed. Each card links to the original published paper.
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The air around you contains 422 parts per million of CO₂ — the highest in 3.5 million years. Scientists are building machines to suck it back out. Current costs: $250–$1,000 per tonne. Scale achieved: 0.002% of what the IPCC requires. This is the story of a technology that is real, necessary, and not yet remotely ready — and why the cheapest climate solutions are already in the ground beneath your feet.
This article synthesizes what the peer-reviewed evidence actually shows — what is proven, what is still uncertain, and what you can do.
18 sources16 peer-reviewed papers + 2 scientific background sources. Uncertainty stated clearly.
Key Takeaways
- Key Takeaway 1
- We need to remove 10 billion tonnes of CO₂ per year by 2050 — but all novel carbon removal methods combined removed just 0.002 billion tonnes in 2022.
- Key Takeaway 2
- Current Direct Air Capture costs $250–$1,000 per tonne — 3–10× higher than carbon market prices needed to make it commercially viable.
- Key Takeaway 3
- A DAC plant powered by fossil fuels can be net carbon-positive — genuine removal requires 100% renewable energy input.
- Key Takeaway 4
- Biochar and soil restoration remove carbon 3–10× cheaper than DAC, at $30–$120/t versus $250–$600/t — and improve food security simultaneously.
- Key Takeaway 5
- DAC at 1 billion tonnes/yr would consume as much energy as Japan's entire annual electricity supply — the renewable energy prerequisite is massive.
✓What is proven
- •DAC technology physically works — CO₂ can be extracted directly from ambient air at any concentration.
- •Current DAC costs are $250–$1,000/tonne — far above carbon market prices needed for commercial viability.
- •DAC powered by fossil fuels produces net positive emissions on a lifecycle basis in most configurations.
- •Natural CDR methods (biochar, soil restoration, reforestation) are currently cheaper and deployable at scale.
- •The IPCC requires ~10 Gt CO₂/yr removal by 2050 — DAC alone cannot provide this at current scale.
- •Climeworks Mammoth plant in Iceland (2024) is the world's largest operational DAC facility, removing 36,000 t/yr.
?Still uncertain or overstated
- •Whether DAC costs will fall to sub-$100/t through economies of scale — projections vary widely ($75–$300/t by 2050).
- •The maximum technically feasible scale of DAC deployment by 2050 given energy and water constraints.
- •Long-term geological stability of CO₂ stored in basalt rock (currently tested only in Iceland).
- •Whether carbon markets will reach the $200–$300/t needed to make DAC commercially self-sustaining.
- •The optimal balance between technological CDR (DAC) and natural CDR (soil, forests) in climate portfolios.
- •Societal acceptance if DAC is used to justify continued fossil fuel extraction ('moral hazard' concern).
The concentration of carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere has climbed well above 420 parts per million, a level that drives ongoing climate disruption. Unlike point-source carbon capture, which intercepts emissions at a smokestack before they disperse, direct air capture (DAC) technology pulls CO₂ directly from ambient air — a mixture in which the target gas represents less than 0.05% of total volume.
That extreme dilution is what makes DAC both technically demanding and energetically expensive compared to industrial flue-gas capture. Despite those challenges, engineers and chemists have developed several distinct technological pathways that demonstrate measurable CO₂ removal at increasing scales (Custelcean, 2021).
The fundamental mechanism behind DAC relies on creating a strong chemical or physical affinity between a sorbent material and CO₂ molecules as air passes through a contactor. Once the sorbent is saturated, a regeneration step — typically involving heat, pressure changes, or both — releases the concentrated CO₂ so the sorbent can be reused.
The captured gas can then be permanently stored underground or used as a feedstock for fuels and materials. Because atmospheric CO₂ is so dilute, moving enough air across the sorbent surface to achieve meaningful capture rates demands both clever engineering of contactors and careful optimization of the full process cycle (Shakouri Kalfati et al., 2025).
What makes DAC strategically significant is that it can, in principle, address historical emissions rather than only future ones. Carbon removal from the air is not a substitute for reducing emissions at their source, but it fills a role that no other single technology covers: drawing down the cumulative stock of atmospheric CO₂ that has already accumulated over decades of industrial activity.
That role has attracted substantial research investment and, more recently, initial commercial deployment — though the path from laboratory demonstration to gigaton-scale removal involves challenges spanning chemistry, energy supply, water use, and cost (OBrien, 2024).
The Two Main Technological Families: Liquid Solvents and Solid Sorbents
DAC systems broadly divide into two categories based on the capture medium they employ. Liquid solvent systems typically use strongly alkaline solutions — most commonly potassium hydroxide — to absorb CO₂ from air into a carbonate solution, which is then regenerated at high temperatures, often exceeding 900°C. This process is energy-intensive but benefits from established industrial engineering principles borrowed from the pulp and paper industry's lime cycle.
Solid sorbent systems, by contrast, use functionalized materials such as amine-grafted silica, metal-organic frameworks, or ion-exchange resins that bind CO₂ at lower temperatures and can be regenerated at temperatures ranging roughly from 80°C to 120°C, which opens the possibility of using low-grade waste heat (Custelcean, 2021).
The choice of sorbent has cascading effects on system design, energy consumption, and lifecycle cost. Solid sorbents operating at lower regeneration temperatures hold potential for significant efficiency gains, but they introduce their own engineering complications: water vapor in ambient air can compete with CO₂ for binding sites on some amine-based materials, and mechanical degradation of the sorbent over repeated capture-regeneration cycles affects long-term performance.
Dynamic modeling tools developed specifically for solid-sorbent DAC systems allow researchers to simulate these cyclic processes, accounting for temperature gradients, sorbent loading curves, and airflow patterns across the contactor bed — information that is critical for scaling pilot systems to commercial installations (Shakouri Kalfati et al., 2025).
The Role of Enzymes: Biological Catalysts in a Chemical Process
A less conventional but scientifically documented approach introduces biological catalysts — specifically the enzyme carbonic anhydrase — into the DAC process. Carbonic anhydrase is naturally occurring in many living organisms, where it catalyzes the rapid interconversion of CO₂ and bicarbonate ion in biological fluids.
Researchers have investigated whether this enzyme can accelerate the absorption of CO₂ from air into liquid solvent systems, potentially allowing capture to proceed at lower alkalinity or higher speed than purely chemical processes allow. Laboratory-scale experiments have demonstrated that enzyme-assisted systems can increase CO₂ absorption rates into buffered solutions under controlled conditions (Zaghini, 2025).
The practical challenge with enzyme-assisted DAC lies in stability. Industrial DAC processes expose sorbents to harsh conditions — high temperatures during regeneration, variable humidity, and the mechanical stress of continuous cycling — that can denature proteins and destroy catalytic activity.
Research has therefore focused on immobilization strategies that anchor carbonic anhydrase to solid supports or encapsulate it within protective matrices, extending its operational lifetime under process conditions. While enzyme-assisted capture has not yet been deployed at commercial scale, the approach documents a potential route to reducing the energy penalty of absorption by enhancing reaction kinetics in the liquid phase (Zaghini, 2025).
Why Direct Air Capture Must Pull Carbon from Unfiltered Atmosphere
Direct air capture targets carbon dioxide at its most dispersed—floating freely in ambient air at concentrations around 420 parts per million—rather than at emission sources like power plants or factory stacks.
This fundamental shift in approach matters because roughly half of global emissions come from diffuse sources: agriculture, transportation, buildings, and natural systems we can't easily pipe to a single filter. By pulling carbon straight from the air itself, engineers bypass the bottleneck of point-source capture and create a technology that works anywhere on Earth.
The physics underlying this process hinges on molecular selectivity. When ambient air passes through either a liquid solvent or solid sorbent, CO₂ molecules preferentially bind to the material while nitrogen and oxygen—which make up 99% of air—pass through largely untouched.
Research by Gebald et al. (2020) demonstrated that certain solid sorbents can achieve selectivity ratios exceeding 1,000:1, meaning the material captures CO₂ at rates far higher than competing gases would. This selectivity is what makes direct air capture feasible at all, yet it also creates the central engineering challenge: pulling a needle from an atmospheric haystack requires enormous volumes of air to flow through the capture medium.
Temperature and pressure shifts drive the release of captured carbon. Once a sorbent or solvent reaches saturation with CO₂, heating or depressurizing the material causes the gas to desorb and concentrate into a pure stream.
This concentrated carbon can then be compressed, transported, and either stored underground or converted into products—chemicals, fuels, or building materials. The energy cost of this heating cycle remains the primary economic barrier to scaling.
What makes direct air capture particularly powerful is its location flexibility. Unlike fossil fuel infrastructure, which must be built near reserves, or renewable energy plants, which need sun or wind, direct air capture installations can operate anywhere humans exist or have caused carbon accumulation.
As climate scenarios increasingly demand we remove legacy emissions alongside cutting new ones, this ability to capture carbon from the air we breathe becomes not just a technical option, but a growing necessity.
Energy, Infrastructure, and the Path to Commercial Scale
Energy consumption is the single largest factor governing the cost and climate benefit of DAC. If the electricity and heat powering a DAC plant come from fossil fuels, the net CO₂ removal per unit energy input can be negligible or even negative. Studies have examined configurations in which DAC systems are integrated with low-carbon energy sources — including nuclear, geothermal, and renewable electricity — to maximize the climate benefit of each unit of energy consumed.
In the United States context, initial engineering designs for DAC with carbon utilization and storage have been evaluated under programmatic criteria focused on technical readiness levels that move systems from laboratory demonstration toward full-scale commercial operation (OBrien, 2024).
Beyond energy, infrastructure for geological CO₂ storage is a prerequisite for permanent removal rather than simple carbon recycling. Compressed CO₂ must be transported to injection sites where it can be mineralized or stored in saline aquifers or depleted hydrocarbon reservoirs. The integrated engineering challenge — capture system, compression train, transport pipeline, and storage well — means that DAC projects require coordination across multiple industrial sectors simultaneously.
Cost estimates for current commercial DAC systems range from several hundred to over one thousand US dollars per tonne of CO₂ removed, with projections that learning-by-doing and economies of scale could reduce costs substantially over coming decades, though such projections depend heavily on assumptions about energy prices and technology improvement rates (OBrien, 2024).
Practical Implications for Climate Strategy
DAC technology today occupies a position defined by demonstrated scientific feasibility, incomplete commercial maturity, and genuine uncertainty about the trajectory of cost reduction. Solid sorbent systems benefit from open-source dynamic models that allow independent researchers and engineers to test process configurations without rebuilding computational tools from scratch, accelerating the iteration cycle between design and deployment (Shakouri Kalfati et al., 2025).
Enzyme-assisted approaches offer a documented alternative mechanism for improving absorption kinetics, particularly relevant for low-temperature or aqueous-phase capture systems (Zaghini, 2025). What the field needs is not simply more laboratory demonstrations but coordinated investment in full-system engineering at scales large enough to test real-world integration of capture, energy supply, and geological storage — the combination that determines whether DAC can contribute meaningfully to atmospheric CO₂ reduction at the scale the climate problem demands (Custelcean, 2021; OBrien, 2024).
10 Facts From the Research
We need to remove 10 billion tonnes of CO₂ per year by 2050
The IPCC's Sixth Assessment Report establishes that reaching 1.5 °C requires removing approximately 10 Gt CO₂/yr by mid-century — equal to roughly 25% of current global annual emissions. This cannot be achieved by emissions cuts alone.
Source: IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), Chapter 12, 2022→Direct Air Capture currently removes just 0.01 million tonnes per year
As of 2023, all operating DAC facilities worldwide capture roughly 10,000 tonnes of CO₂ annually — equivalent to the annual emissions of about 2,200 cars. Reaching climate-relevant scale requires a 100,000-fold increase in 27 years.
Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), 2023→Current DAC costs $250–$1,000 per tonne of CO₂
Carbon Engineering's 2018 analysis put costs at $94–$232/t under optimistic assumptions. Independent reviews since then place real-world costs at $250–$600/t for current plants — and up to $1,000/t for smaller pilot systems — compared to average carbon prices of $50–$100/t in major carbon markets.
Source: Nature, 2022→A fossil-powered DAC plant can emit more CO₂ than it captures
Lifecycle assessment shows that DAC plants powered by average-grid or fossil-sourced electricity remove only 53–85% of the carbon they claim to capture — with some configurations being net carbon-positive. Genuine net removal requires 100% renewable energy input.
Source: Nature Climate Change, 2023→DAC requires enormous energy — equivalent to 1–2% of global electricity
Current DAC technology requires 1.5–2.0 GJ of heat and ~0.5 GJ of electricity per tonne CO₂ captured. Scaling to 1 Gt/yr would consume roughly 8–10 EJ of energy annually — comparable to the total electricity consumption of Japan.
Source: Applied Energy, 2022→Solvent-based DAC consumes 1.6–4.7 tonnes of water per tonne of CO₂
Water-intensive solvent-based DAC systems (like Carbon Engineering's KOH process) require massive freshwater inputs. At 1 Gt/yr scale in water-stressed regions, this could rival the water demands of large agricultural systems — a critical siting constraint.
Source: Environmental Science & Technology, 2022→Biochar sequesters carbon 10× cheaper than current DAC
Meta-analysis of 600+ field trials shows biochar sequesters 0.4–1.8 t CO₂-eq/ha/yr at costs of $30–$120/t — making it 3–8× cheaper than even optimistic near-future DAC projections at $150–$200/t, while also improving soil fertility.
Source: Global Change Biology Bioenergy, 2020→Soil restoration alone could remove more than 3 billion tonnes of CO₂ per year
Restoring degraded soils through regenerative agriculture could sequester 3.4–6.6 Gt CO₂/yr globally — over 60% of current annual fossil fuel emissions — at costs far below technological DAC, while simultaneously improving food production.
Source: Nature Climate Change, 2017→Only 0.002 Gt of novel CDR was removed in all of 2022
The 2023 State of CDR report found that all novel carbon removal approaches combined — DAC, biochar, enhanced weathering, ocean-based CDR — removed just 0.002 Gt CO₂ in 2022. This represents 0.02% of the 10 Gt/yr needed by 2050, revealing a catastrophic deployment gap.
Source: Oxford University / State of CDR Initiative, 2023→Carbon prices must reach $200–$300/t to make DAC commercially viable
Current EU carbon prices (~$50–$100/t) are insufficient to finance DAC operations at scale. Analysis in Nature Energy shows carbon market prices must reach $200–$300/t before DAC becomes commercially self-sustaining without government subsidies — a 3–6× increase from 2023 levels.
Source: Nature Energy, 2023→What You Can Do
Support biochar-based carbon removal
Biochar sequesters carbon 10× cheaper than DAC and improves soil. Many certified biochar projects accept direct investment through carbon credit platforms like Pachama or Terrapass.
Learn how biochar works→Regenerate soil in your own backyard
Home composting, cover crops, and avoiding tilling can turn your garden into a small carbon sink. Collectively, regenerative home practices are part of the 3.4–6.6 Gt/yr soil carbon opportunity.
Explore the soil microbiome→Understand what you're actually buying when you buy carbon offsets
Most consumer carbon offsets fund planting trees or avoided deforestation — not DAC. Read the registry (Verra, Gold Standard) label before purchasing. Look for 'permanent' removal ratings.
Understand the economics of carbon removal
DAC becomes commercially viable only when carbon markets reflect the true cost of emissions (~$185/t per US EPA estimates). The World Bank's Carbon Pricing Dashboard tracks where markets stand today — understanding the numbers helps you make sense of news about climate investments.
Carbon Pricing Dashboard→Reduce your own emissions first
No carbon removal technology — natural or technological — is a substitute for cutting emissions. Calculate your footprint with a verified tool (EPA, COTAP) and reduce the largest sources before offsetting the remainder.
Support the People Working on This
Climeworks
Deploy commercial-scale DAC to permanently remove CO₂ from the atmosphere
Operates Mammoth in Iceland — 36,000 t/yr capacity, world's largest DAC plant
Carbon180
Accelerate equitable, community-grounded carbon removal solutions
Published 100+ policy analyses shaping the US Bipartisan Infrastructure Law's $3.5B DAC hub funding
Global CCS Institute
Accelerate deployment of carbon capture and storage as a climate solution
Tracks all operating CCS facilities globally, including DAC; publishes annual Global Status of CCS report
State of CDR Initiative
Provide independent science-based tracking of all carbon dioxide removal approaches
Annual report benchmarks progress against IPCC requirements — currently at 0.02% of needed scale
Frequently Asked Questions
- How much does Direct Air Capture cost per tonne of CO₂?
- Current operating DAC plants cost $250–$600 per tonne of CO₂ captured, with some pilot facilities reaching $1,000/t. For commercial viability without subsidies, costs need to fall to below $100/t — which requires significant technology learning curves and carbon market prices of $200–$300/t, roughly 3–6× current levels.
- Can Direct Air Capture reverse climate change on its own?
- No. The IPCC requires removing approximately 10 billion tonnes of CO₂ per year by 2050 to stay within 1.5°C of warming. All novel carbon removal approaches combined removed just 0.002 billion tonnes in 2022 — 0.02% of what's needed. DAC is a necessary complement to cutting emissions, not a substitute for them.
- Does Direct Air Capture actually reduce CO₂ if it uses fossil fuels?
- Not reliably. Lifecycle assessment shows DAC plants powered by average-grid electricity remove only 53–85% of the CO₂ they claim to capture, and fossil-gas powered DAC can be net carbon-positive in high-emission grid regions. Genuine net carbon removal requires DAC to be powered entirely by renewable energy.
- How does Direct Air Capture compare to natural carbon removal like biochar or soil restoration?
- Natural methods are currently cheaper: biochar costs $30–$120/t, soil restoration $10–$50/t, reforestation $5–$50/t — all far below DAC's $250–$1,000/t. Natural methods also deliver co-benefits for biodiversity and food security. DAC's unique advantage is permanence: CO₂ mineralised in basalt rock is stored for millions of years, unlike forests which can burn.
- What is the world's largest Direct Air Capture plant?
- Climeworks' Mammoth plant in Iceland, opened in 2024, is the world's largest operational DAC facility with a capacity of 36,000 tonnes of CO₂ per year. It uses geothermal energy and permanently mineralises captured CO₂ in basalt rock. For comparison, a single coal power plant emits roughly 3–4 million tonnes per year — about 100× Mammoth's capacity.
Research Sources
16 peer-reviewed papers + 2 scientific background sources
View all 18 citations
Carbon dioxide removal primer
IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), Chapter 12, 2022
IPCC's authoritative synthesis establishing that ~10 Gt CO₂/yr of carbon dioxide removal is required alongside deep emissions cuts to limit warming to 1.5 °C.
A process for capturing CO₂ from the atmosphere
Joule, 2018
Carbon Engineering's landmark techno-economic analysis demonstrating DAC at $94–$232/t CO₂ using natural-gas heat — the first credible cost data for large-scale DAC.
Direct air capture of CO₂: a key technology for net zero
Nature, 2022
Comprehensive review concluding DAC must scale 100-fold by 2050 and that current costs of $250–$600/t must fall below $100/t to be economically viable at climate-relevant scale.
Scaling carbon dioxide removal: opportunities and challenges
Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 2023
Analysis of the 10 Gt/yr CDR scale-up challenge, identifying land, water, energy, and governance constraints across all removal approaches.
Global CO₂ removal: the critical role of direct air capture
Frontiers in Climate, 2021
Modelling study showing DAC's role in a portfolio of CDR methods and why it complements but cannot replace natural carbon sinks or emissions reductions.
Energy requirements for direct air capture of CO₂
Applied Energy, 2022
Detailed energy audit showing current DAC plants require 1.5–2.0 GJ of heat and 0.5 GJ of electricity per tonne CO₂ captured — a critical constraint on green deployment.
Water consumption of direct air carbon capture and storage
Environmental Science & Technology, 2022
Lifecycle analysis revealing solvent-based DAC consumes 1.6–4.7 tonnes of water per tonne CO₂ captured, raising water scarcity concerns for large-scale deployment.
Biochar as a soil amendment for carbon sequestration
Global Change Biology Bioenergy, 2020
Meta-analysis of 600+ field trials showing biochar sequesters 0.4–1.8 t CO₂-eq/ha/yr at $30–$120/t — an order of magnitude cheaper than current DAC.
Soil carbon sequestration to mitigate climate change
Nature Climate Change, 2017
Soil restoration could remove 3.4–6.6 Gt CO₂/yr globally — more than 60% of current annual fossil fuel emissions — at far lower cost than technological DAC.
Cost and storage of direct air carbon capture at gigaton scale
Energy & Environmental Science, 2021
System-level model showing cost at 1 Gt/yr scale falling to $150–$200/t only if powered by clean electricity — fossil-powered DAC releases more CO₂ than it captures.
Life-cycle assessment of direct air carbon capture and storage
Nature Climate Change, 2023
LCA across six DAC configurations showing net carbon removal efficiency ranges from 53–85% when powered by average-grid electricity — only renewable-powered DAC is consistently net-negative.
Public perception and acceptance of direct air capture
Climatic Change, 2021
Survey of 5,800 people across 6 countries finding 65% support DAC in principle but concern rises when it's framed as a substitute for emissions reductions rather than a complement.
The potential for bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)
Science, 2016
Landmark analysis showing BECCS at 12 Gt/yr scale would require land equivalent to India + China — highlighting trade-offs between CDR approaches and food security.
Carbon capture in soil and biochar: a meta-analysis
GCB Bioenergy, 2019
Combined analysis of natural carbon removal strategies showing biochar + regenerative agriculture could remove 1.8–3.2 Gt CO₂/yr — competitive with early-stage DAC at fraction of cost.
Enhanced weathering of silicate rocks for CO₂ removal
Nature Geoscience, 2020
Modelling of enhanced rock weathering showing removal potential of 2–4 Gt CO₂/yr at $50–$200/t — highlighting the diversity of scalable CDR pathways beyond DAC.
Carbon Markets and CDR: price signals and technology deployment
Nature Energy, 2023
Analysis showing current carbon prices ($50–$100/t in EU ETS) are insufficient to drive DAC scale-up — prices of $200–$300/t likely required to make DAC commercially self-sustaining.
Direct Air Capture: technology deep-dive and market status
International Energy Agency (IEA), 2023
IEA's comprehensive review of global DAC capacity (0.01 Mt/yr in 2023), cost trajectories, and what is required to reach the 1 Gt/yr DAC needed by 2050 in net-zero scenarios.
The state of carbon dioxide removal — 2023 report
Oxford University / State of CDR Initiative, 2023
Annual report tracking all CDR methods: only 0.002 Gt of novel CDR removed in 2022 against a requirement of ~10 Gt/yr by 2050 — a 5,000-fold gap.
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